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Hi all,

We at Encyclopedia Geopolitica (the team behind the “How to get on a Watchlist” podcast) are thrilled to announce the release of our annual geopolitical reading list. The list includes books that the team and I feel are important to read to understand the geopolitical, security, and defence landscape of 2024.

The list can be found here: https://encyclopediageopolitica.com/2023/11/10/the-2024-geopolitical-reading-list/

As always, we’d be happy to answer any questions you may have on geopolitics, working in geopolitical analysis and security intelligence, and other related matters.

Regards,

Lewis

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

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Please do:

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* Be curious not judgmental,

* Be polite and civil,

* Use the original title of the work you are linking to,

* Use capitalization,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Make it clear what is your opinion and from what the source actually says. Please minimize editorializing, please make your opinions clearly distinct from the content of the article or source, please do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

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Also please use the report feature if you want a comment to be reviewed faster. Don’t abuse it though! If something is not obviously against the rules but you still feel that it should be reviewed, leave a short but descriptive comment while filing the report.

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

​

Please do:

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* Be curious not judgmental,

* Be polite and civil,

* Use the original title of the work you are linking to,

* Use capitalization,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Make it clear what is your opinion and from what the source actually says. Please minimize editorializing, please make your opinions clearly distinct from the content of the article or source, please do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

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* Post only credible information

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* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself ‘How likely is this thing to occur.’ Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

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Please do:

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* Be curious not judgmental,

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* Use the original title of the work you are linking to,

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* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself ‘How likely is this thing to occur.’ Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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https://warontherocks.com/2023/11/two-myths-about-counterforce/

This author makes the case that targeting your adversary’s nuclear infrastructure (missiles, silos, C2) is a bad idea and leads to an endless spiral arms race while, also, not providing any benefit for deterrence and in fact increases risk of nuclear conflict.

China’s and Russia’s nuclear forces are, and will remain, sufficiently survivable that preemptive strikes on them would not succeed in meaningfully limiting the damage that the United States would suffer in a nuclear war. As a result, targeting those forces does not enhance deterrence — but it does create serious risks and costs.

I disagree vehemently with this theory because the author seems to be equating a small nuclear strike (presumably committed by an adversary’s surviving nuclear forces) with a large nuclear strike. I mean sure, 10 missiles is “sufficient” damage to deter just like 1000 is also “sufficient”, but the difference between the two is in fact very meaningful.

Basically, hitting your enemy’s nukes before they are used is such as obvious advantage that it really takes an academic to argue otherwise.

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

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Please do:

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The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

​

Please do:

​

* Be curious not judgmental,

* Be polite and civil,

* Use the original title of the work you are linking to,

* Use capitalization,

* Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

* Make it clear what is your opinion and from what the source actually says. Please minimize editorializing, please make your opinions clearly distinct from the content of the article or source, please do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

* Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

* Post only credible information

* Contribute to the forum by finding and submitting your own credible articles,

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Please do not:

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* Use memes, emojis or swears excessively,

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* Use acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF, /s, etc. excessively,

* Start fights with other commenters,

* Make it personal,

* Try to out someone,

* Try to push narratives, or fight for a cause in the comment section, or try to ‘win the war,’

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself ‘How likely is this thing to occur.’ Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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Also please use the report feature if you want a comment to be reviewed faster. Don’t abuse it though! If something is not obviously against the rules but you still feel that it should be reviewed, leave a short but descriptive comment while filing the report.

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

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Please do:

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* Be curious not judgmental,

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* Use the original title of the work you are linking to,

* Use capitalization,

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* Make it clear what is your opinion and from what the source actually says. Please minimize editorializing, please make your opinions clearly distinct from the content of the article or source, please do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

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* Make it personal,

* Try to out someone,

* Try to push narratives, or fight for a cause in the comment section, or try to ‘win the war,’

* Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself ‘How likely is this thing to occur.’ Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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Hey y’all!

My name is Nick and I am an independent journalist documenting the War in Ukraine.

I have been here for over a year now and would love to answer any questions you guys have. No propaganda nonsense, I shoot straight.

I can answer geopolitical questions, but I have spent most of my time here focusing on the human impact of the war, so I am best equipped to answer questions about ordinary peoples’ stories and opinions on the war.

I also wanted to mention I just finished a documentary titled “Dima”, the story of a man who narrowly escaped from Mariupol, Ukraine during the opening weeks of the war. There are no political agendas or any sort of rallying cries. It’s just an ordinary man telling his story.

The film is done, but it needs a little help getting off the ground, and I recently launched a Kickstarter to get the ball rolling.

The link to the Kickstarter is in my bio. Any contributions would mean a ton!