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As the second Trump Administration took office, it found a Middle East landscape that had been transformed dramatically in the last year alone. Nowhere is […] More
The post Iran, the Nuclear Program, and Trump 2.0 appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
ICBM Ear for the Week of January 23, 2025 Prepared by Peter Huessy, President of Geostrategic Analysis and Senior Fellow at the National Institute for Deterrent Studies Key Takeaways Significant Military Budget Increase in Russia: Russia’s defense spending will rise by 25% to 13.5 trillion rubles (~130 billion euros), continuing its high military expenditure trend. […]
ICBM EAR for 23 Jan 25 was originally published on Global Security Review.
Beth Sanner is a principal member of The Cipher Brief’s Gray Zone Group, a gathering of experts focused on raising awareness of adversarial activities that […] More
The post How is War Fought in the Gray Zone? appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
EXPERT INTERVIEW / PERSPECTIVE – The Middle East has changed dramatically over the past four years, creating both extraordinary challenges and opportunities for the region […] More
The post Parsing the Opportunity from Extreme Challenges in the Middle East appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
The Middle East experienced significant geopolitical shifts over the past year. In October 2023, Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel, resulting in approximately 1,200 Israeli deaths. Israel’s subsequent military response led to an estimated 40,000 Palestinian casualties, predominantly in Gaza. The conflict caused widespread destruction and displacement, exacerbating the long-standing humanitarian crisis in the region. It […]
Is This the Right Moment to Act Against Iran on All Fronts? was originally published on Global Security Review.
ICBM EAR Report Executive Summary Based on the latest EAR Report, these are the critical points on global security, upcoming events, and the ongoing discourse on nuclear deterrence, modernization, and geopolitical strategy for 2025. Quotes of the Week Xi Jinping (China): “No one can stop the historical trend” of China’s “reunification” with Taiwan.” U.S. Ambassador […]
ICBM EAR Report Jan, 3 2025 was originally published on Global Security Review.
With Donald Trump’s return to the White House, Arab states already face a pivotal moment in shaping their foreign policy. Known for his transactional diplomacy and “America First” approach, Trump is likely to prioritize issues that directly benefit the US economy and enhance its strategic power, particularly vis-a-vis China and Russia. For Arab states, the […]
Now That Trump Is Back, What Should Arab States Do? was originally published on Global Security Review.
Executive Summary: Week of December 8, 2024 This report asserts that the United States is at a critical inflection point in global security, facing mounting threats from an increasingly assertive China, a resurgent Russia, and a shifting nuclear landscape characterized by rapid technological advancements and diminished international agreements. This week we underscore the critical juncture […]
ICBM EAR Report December 8th was originally published on Global Security Review.
In an era where political pundits are quick to sound alarms about the impending decline of American global leadership, the reality paints a more optimistic picture. While the rise of China, the resurgence of Russia, and the saber-rattling of North Korea and Iran led some to predict a seismic shift in world power, a closer […]
The Resilient Hegemon: Why America’s Global Leadership Endures was originally published on Global Security Review.
ICBM EAR Summary for the Week of October 25th, 2024 Key Essays: Extended Deterrence and No First Use Policy: The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, emphasizing nuclear abolition. The U.S. policy of extended deterrence involves the potential use of nuclear weapons in response to conventional, biological, or chemical attacks. The Biden administration […]
ICBM EAR Report – Summary for October 25th was originally published on Global Security Review.