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EXPERT INTERVIEW / PERSPECTIVE – The Middle East has changed dramatically over the past four years, creating both extraordinary challenges and opportunities for the region […] More
The post Parsing the Opportunity from Extreme Challenges in the Middle East appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
The Middle East experienced significant geopolitical shifts over the past year. In October 2023, Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel, resulting in approximately 1,200 Israeli deaths. Israel’s subsequent military response led to an estimated 40,000 Palestinian casualties, predominantly in Gaza. The conflict caused widespread destruction and displacement, exacerbating the long-standing humanitarian crisis in the region. It […]
Is This the Right Moment to Act Against Iran on All Fronts? was originally published on Global Security Review.
DEEP DIVE — As the war in Gaza rages, ceasefire talks founder, and the world waits for – and worries about – an Iranian retaliation for […] More
The post What the U.S. Military’s ‘Overwhelming Force’ Means for the Middle East appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
EXPERT INTERVIEWS— In the last-gasp negotiations for a Gaza ceasefire underway in Cairo, the negotiating teams reflect the high stakes of the moment. CIA Director […] More
The post Assessing the ‘Last Opportunity’ for a Gaza Ceasefire Deal appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT — Cipher Brief Experts suggest a range of possible explanations for Iran’s delay in delivering promised retaliation toward Israel after the killing […] More
The post What Happened to Iran’s Promised Revenge Against Israel? appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
The sabotage, which analysts said marked an escalation in the shadow war between Israel and Iran, caused sweeping disruption in several provinces.
SUBSCRIBER+ EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW – It’s been a fear since Hamas’ October 7 raids and massacre in Southern Israel: The powerful Hezbollah militia in southern Lebanon […] More
The post Hezbollah’s Attacks, Israel’s Retaliation and Fears of a Two-Front War appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
Central to the international order, which was created out of the destruction wrought in World War II, is deterrence. It is derived from the collective power found in economic, political, and military capability to cause restraint in the minds of bad actors who would otherwise engage in bad behavior. Today, international order is breaking down. […]
The Mayhem Brothers: Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran was originally published on Global Security Review.
SUBSCRIBER+EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW – A drone strike that killed the deputy chief of Hamas’s political arm, Saleh Al-Arouri and five others in southern Beirut on Tuesday […] More
The post Calculating the Impact of the Drone Strike that Killed Saleh Al-Arouri appeared first on The Cipher Brief.
The agreement calls for a pause in the fighting and for Hamas to free 50 of the captives it seized in its Oct. 7 raid on Israel. Hamas said Israel would release 150 Palestinians held in Israeli prisons.